Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.000188 0.000208 0.000231 0.000257 0.000286 0.000317 0.000355
2025-03-09 0.000148 0.000178 0.000212 0.000256 0.000310 0.000375 0.000460
2025-03-16 0.000120 0.000152 0.000192 0.000245 0.000316 0.000408 0.000538
2025-03-23 0.000105 0.000139 0.000183 0.000247 0.000335 0.000457 0.000641
2025-03-30 0.000096 0.000132 0.000182 0.000255 0.000364 0.000522 0.000774
2025-04-06 0.000085 0.000121 0.000171 0.000250 0.000371 0.000554 0.000863
2025-04-13 0.000074 0.000108 0.000158 0.000237 0.000364 0.000565 0.000919
2025-04-20 0.000069 0.000103 0.000154 0.000238 0.000379 0.000610 0.001037
2025-04-27 0.000065 0.000099 0.000153 0.000244 0.000401 0.000671 0.001190
2025-05-04 0.000060 0.000094 0.000148 0.000242 0.000410 0.000707 0.001306
2025-05-11 0.000056 0.000090 0.000145 0.000243 0.000424 0.000757 0.001454
2025-05-18 0.000053 0.000085 0.000140 0.000241 0.000432 0.000795 0.001584
2025-05-25 0.000049 0.000082 0.000137 0.000242 0.000447 0.000850 0.001764
2025-06-01 0.000046 0.000078 0.000133 0.000242 0.000459 0.000900 0.001945
2025-06-08 0.000042 0.000072 0.000125 0.000231 0.000450 0.000909 0.002033
2025-06-15 0.000040 0.000069 0.000123 0.000233 0.000465 0.000969 0.002256
2025-06-22 0.000038 0.000069 0.000124 0.000241 0.000496 0.001070 0.002600
2025-06-29 0.000036 0.000065 0.000119 0.000236 0.000497 0.001100 0.002771
2025-07-06 0.000033 0.000060 0.000111 0.000224 0.000481 0.001091 0.002829
2025-07-13 0.000031 0.000058 0.000110 0.000225 0.000495 0.001155 0.003111
2025-07-20 0.000030 0.000057 0.000110 0.000230 0.000520 0.001251 0.003507
2025-07-27 0.000029 0.000055 0.000107 0.000228 0.000527 0.001300 0.003774
2025-08-03 0.000027 0.000053 0.000106 0.000230 0.000542 0.001376 0.004144